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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+4.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.39+6.46vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+6.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.83+2.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76+1.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+1.46vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.32+1.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.79-1.54vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34-0.36vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.08-0.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.23-1.81vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-3.08vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.08-4.59vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.48vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.98-11.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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10.41Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.52Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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16.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.67Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| John Duncan | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Luke Healy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 14.1% | 58.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.