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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+5.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.39+4.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.08+3.49vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.32+1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23+0.83vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14+0.45vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.52vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.22vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.08-3.85vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-9.12vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.57-8.38vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.76-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.15Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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13.52Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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10.15Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.88Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Luke Healy | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 17.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 56.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.