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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+4.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.32+7.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+7.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+5.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+6.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23+3.97vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.09-0.41vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.83-0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08+1.61vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.27+3.78vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.76-3.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-1.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.73vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.79-6.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.39-5.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-4.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-9.94vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.82Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.78Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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7.06Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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15.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Luke Healy | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kaller | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.