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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.83+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.39+7.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.24vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+2.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+6.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23+4.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.79+0.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+3.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-4.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.08-1.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.34-3.64vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-4.72vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-7.24vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.38vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-0.87vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.08-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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5.24Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.91Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.97Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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13.62Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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16.13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Doyle | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Luke Healy | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 16.1% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 58.3% |
| John Duncan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.