Race 6A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stephanie Roble 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.3% 9.3% 9.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.0%
Samuel Ingham 18.7% 18.5% 15.9% 12.7% 9.9% 8.4% 5.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Jason Carminati 6.3% 7.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.8% 7.8% 10.9% 8.5% 10.5% 9.2% 6.1% 5.0% 1.0%
Erik Bowers 7.9% 9.4% 7.6% 8.7% 11.5% 9.7% 9.8% 10.4% 7.5% 7.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.1%
Max Famiglietti 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 5.9% 7.6% 8.8% 10.4% 15.7% 15.2% 8.1%
Ian Liberty 5.9% 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 5.6% 7.7% 8.8% 9.9% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 8.4% 3.8%
Andrew Battigaglia 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 1.8% 1.1% 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.9% 9.1% 14.3% 53.1%
Sam Fitzgerald 4.0% 5.2% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 10.1% 10.9% 13.0% 12.1% 12.1% 4.3%
Amy Hawkins 9.3% 9.5% 9.5% 10.6% 9.5% 11.2% 9.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 4.6% 2.7% 0.6%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 12.8% 10.7% 13.0% 10.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.2% 6.7% 7.0% 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Willie McBride 4.2% 3.9% 5.7% 6.5% 6.8% 6.5% 8.6% 9.5% 11.7% 10.0% 11.9% 9.7% 5.0%
Sydney Bolger 17.2% 14.7% 15.5% 10.8% 11.6% 9.5% 8.2% 5.0% 3.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Harrison Cabiness 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 9.6% 13.8% 23.6% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.