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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+2.09vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.19+3.18vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.09+1.69vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.16-2.12vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.02-1.12vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31-1.75vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.65-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Wisconsin1.1022.6%1st Place
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5.18Miami University-0.196.2%1st Place
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4.69Columbia University0.098.6%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University1.2723.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Michigan1.1624.1%1st Place
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4.88Clemson University0.028.3%1st Place
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5.25Hope College-0.315.7%1st Place
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7.08Michigan State University-1.651.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 22.6% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Drobny | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 9.7% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 5.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 23.3% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Webster | 24.1% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Antonio Priskich | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 7.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 11.6% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.