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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+5.86vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39+5.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.83+2.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49-0.83vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.08+3.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+3.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34-0.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-0.54vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-5.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-5.35vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.23-4.34vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-5.48vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.08-5.33vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-3.35vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.14Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.17Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.52Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.65Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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15.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 13.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| John Duncan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Luke Healy | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 16.2% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.