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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.83+6.74vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.76+5.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09+2.51vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+4.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.08+4.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34+2.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+2.27vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23+0.94vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.79-2.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.39-3.85vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.70vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-8.07vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.08-5.36vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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5.23Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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13.3Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.64Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Doyle | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Luke Healy | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 14.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 59.1% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.