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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+6.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+8.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+2.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.76+3.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+5.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.08+3.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.32+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23+0.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.08+0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.39-1.59vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.83-4.09vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.40vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.09-7.68vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.34-5.51vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.40vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-0.91vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.98-11.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.6Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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10.57Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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13.4Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 12.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Richie Gordon | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| John Duncan | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Francis Doyle | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Luke Healy | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| Sam Tobin | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 57.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.