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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.83+6.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+8.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.08+6.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.49+0.14vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.27+7.56vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+0.82vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79-0.40vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98-2.17vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-3.24vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.34-2.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-3.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-2.95vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.23-5.05vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.08-5.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-5.41vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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10.45Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.14Dartmouth College2.490.2%1st Place
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13.56Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.83Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Doyle | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Healy | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| John Duncan | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.