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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+4.59vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+1.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.12+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.73+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.43+0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.13-4.68vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.62-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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2.67University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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7.59University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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8.25University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 31.4% | 25.1% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Hayden Potter | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vick | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.6% |
| Fisher Price | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 38.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.