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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.93+2.29vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46+2.36vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.12+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.73+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.43+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.62-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.13-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.29University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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8.26University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 31.6% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 12.9% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marijke Jorna | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vick | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| Fisher Price | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 15.1% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 38.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 13.2% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.