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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.57vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.12+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+0.96vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.46-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.40+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.43+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.62-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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5.64Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 33.8% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Hayden Potter | 14.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.5% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 12.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 8.2% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 50.8% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| Jayden Potter | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.