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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.54vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+3.77vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-2.06vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.12-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.13-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.43-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.77University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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5.63Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 35.6% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 12.2% |
| Marijke Jorna | 7.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Niko Twilla | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.