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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.73vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+4.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.12+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.13-1.90vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.46-3.82vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.62-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.73-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.05Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.32Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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8.28University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 30.4% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 7.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Hayden Potter | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Vick | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 13.5% |
| Jayden Potter | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Fisher Price | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.