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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+2.09vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.02+2.81vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.16-1.08vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.19+0.19vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.09-1.35vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31-1.70vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.65-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Wisconsin1.1021.8%1st Place
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4.81Clemson University0.028.0%1st Place
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2.97Northwestern University1.2722.8%1st Place
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2.92University of Michigan1.1625.9%1st Place
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5.19Miami University-0.196.9%1st Place
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4.65Columbia University0.098.2%1st Place
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5.3Hope College-0.315.3%1st Place
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7.07Michigan State University-1.651.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 21.8% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Antonio Priskich | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 7.3% |
| Jake Weinstein | 22.8% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Webster | 25.9% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Drobny | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 22.4% | 10.9% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 5.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 11.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.