Race 7A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jason Carminati 7.3% 6.6% 10.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 10.6% 10.7% 8.7% 9.3% 6.8% 3.7% 0.6%
Erik Bowers 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 8.7% 9.4% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 8.7% 12.4% 12.4% 10.2% 11.2% 10.5% 11.1% 8.1% 6.4% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Max Famiglietti 2.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 7.7% 9.0% 12.3% 15.9% 13.8% 9.6%
Samuel Ingham 20.2% 18.5% 12.3% 13.8% 11.8% 7.3% 6.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 5.2% 5.2% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 9.4% 7.8% 12.0% 10.6% 11.5% 8.8% 3.0%
Stephanie Roble 10.0% 7.0% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.6% 7.3% 10.0% 8.8% 9.0% 5.4% 2.7% 0.6%
Amy Hawkins 9.5% 10.9% 9.1% 9.9% 9.4% 11.5% 10.2% 9.9% 8.6% 5.5% 2.7% 2.4% 0.4%
Willie McBride 4.5% 4.9% 3.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 8.0% 9.5% 9.9% 12.0% 12.7% 11.8% 5.2%
Sydney Bolger 17.9% 15.2% 15.8% 12.4% 8.5% 9.2% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Fitzgerald 3.6% 3.9% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.3% 7.9% 9.3% 10.5% 11.0% 12.5% 10.5% 4.4%
Harrison Cabiness 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 3.2% 2.5% 5.1% 3.7% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 14.0% 24.1% 22.5%
Andrew Battigaglia 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 5.5% 8.4% 18.4% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.