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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.54vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+2.24vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.12+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.40-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.13-2.41vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.62-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.43-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.62Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Davis0.130.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marijke Jorna | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 33.1% | 25.9% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| Jayden Potter | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 17.7% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.