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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+1.47vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.37+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.19+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.38+0.72vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.10+1.12vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.63+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.27-3.51vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.69-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.29Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Davis-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.12Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 39.8% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 17.4% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Sharp | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| James Letchinger | 5.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Clark | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Hayley Rawden | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 16.7% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 24.4% | 33.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Gillian Craig | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 23.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.