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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.37+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.76vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.10+4.37vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.38+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.63+2.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.19-1.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.27-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.56-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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8.37Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Davis-0.190.1%1st Place
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8.56University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 34.3% | 27.1% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 17.4% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Barry | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 32.3% |
| James Letchinger | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Warren Ko | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 22.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.