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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.51vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.37+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-1.63+6.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.19+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56+1.06vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.10+1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.27-2.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.21-1.39vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.01-5.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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7.06University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.24Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.74Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 34.8% | 25.3% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 34.2% |
| James Letchinger | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Hayley Rawden | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.1% |
| Oliver Barry | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Warren Ko | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| Nikoline Alden | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.