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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.37+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.41vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.63+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56+0.38vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.10+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.27-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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7.52Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Davis-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Sharp | 12.8% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Erik Skeel | 35.8% | 25.3% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Austin Hauter | 16.4% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 47.6% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Hayley Rawden | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Oliver Barry | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| James Letchinger | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.