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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.48vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.37+2.74vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.38+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.63+2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.60-0.96vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.10-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19-4.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.21-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.56Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Davis-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Davis-0.190.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 35.1% | 26.4% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikoline Alden | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Austin Hauter | 16.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte Clark | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Aditya Kalyan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 31.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% |
| James Letchinger | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Warren Ko | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 19.7% |
| Alexander Bittner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.