← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.50+4.79vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.42+4.10vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.94+4.75vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.02+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.89-1.11vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.74+1.46vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.76+0.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.80-3.77vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.01-5.57vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.57+0.97vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-2.64vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.94vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-0.14-0.20vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.23vs Predicted
-
16Yale University1.57-6.92vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-1.22-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.79Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.1Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
4.89Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.46University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.2Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
4.43Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
-
11.97Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
13.94Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.8Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.08Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
15.75Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Weed | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 14.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 12.8% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 13.7% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.