← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.89+3.63vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.99vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.76+5.26vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.80+1.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.74+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.53vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.57+4.95vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.01-3.56vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.50-2.89vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.02-2.59vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+2.81vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.42-5.76vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.57-3.94vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-1.22+1.69vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College-0.14-1.34vs Predicted
-
16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.00vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.94-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
-
6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.26Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
-
5.14University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.26University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
11.95Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.44Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
-
6.11Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.41Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
-
13.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.24Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
-
9.06Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
15.69Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.66Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
14.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
7.8Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 17.4% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 13.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 55.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 15.4% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.