Race 8A

charleston-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Ingham 18.4% 17.8% 16.3% 11.1% 12.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.9% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Famiglietti 3.2% 3.4% 3.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 11.7% 11.0% 14.6% 16.8% 6.8%
Sydney Bolger 16.2% 16.1% 14.1% 11.9% 12.2% 9.3% 7.5% 5.7% 4.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Erik Bowers 9.1% 7.6% 8.0% 11.8% 8.7% 9.0% 10.7% 9.2% 8.0% 7.8% 6.4% 2.7% 1.0%
Stephanie Roble 8.9% 8.1% 10.1% 10.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 10.6% 8.6% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 0.9%
Amy Hawkins 9.7% 10.4% 9.2% 10.6% 10.9% 12.0% 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 5.6% 5.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 11.8% 12.3% 10.6% 10.9% 11.4% 11.5% 7.9% 8.4% 6.2% 5.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Jason Carminati 7.6% 7.7% 9.1% 7.3% 8.8% 9.4% 10.9% 9.2% 10.2% 8.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.2%
Ian Liberty 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.1% 9.9% 11.5% 8.8% 11.7% 12.5% 9.0% 3.5%
Willie McBride 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 4.3% 6.7% 8.1% 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 12.2% 13.2% 11.0% 5.7%
Sam Fitzgerald 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 7.3% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 11.8% 12.4% 11.1% 9.4% 5.3%
Andrew Battigaglia 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 6.1% 7.7% 16.7% 53.0%
Harrison Cabiness 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8% 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 7.6% 8.9% 13.3% 24.1% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.