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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.16+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.10+0.01vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.02+0.95vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.19+0.13vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31-0.68vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.09-2.38vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.65-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Northwestern University1.2723.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Michigan1.1624.6%1st Place
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3.01University of Wisconsin1.1022.8%1st Place
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4.95Clemson University0.026.7%1st Place
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5.13Miami University-0.196.5%1st Place
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5.32Hope College-0.315.9%1st Place
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4.62Columbia University0.098.7%1st Place
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7.09Michigan State University-1.651.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 23.3% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Webster | 24.6% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 22.8% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 7.6% |
| Jenna Drobny | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 8.9% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 22.9% | 12.3% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.