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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+3.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+2.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+5.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+3.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.50+0.79vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76+2.50vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.42-0.78vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57+3.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-3.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.74-3.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.84vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-6.42vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.22+0.63vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.98vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.14-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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4.39Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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8.97Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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15.63Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.81Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 21.9% | 14.6% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 53.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 23.0% | 15.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.