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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+3.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+2.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.02+4.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+3.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.50+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80-0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.13vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.76+0.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57+3.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.42-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.74-2.53vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-3.09vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.48vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-1.33vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.22-0.29vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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4.38Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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7.53Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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13.67Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.71Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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13.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Jackson Wagner | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 14.6% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 13.3% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 20.5% | 53.8% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.