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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+3.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.70+3.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+3.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.59+0.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.84-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.73-1.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50+1.18vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.61-0.08vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.23+0.06vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.13vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-6.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.27vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.21-0.54vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.40-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.06Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.87Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.83Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 20.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Morrissette | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Morejon | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| John Holt | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% |
| Vick Xu | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 54.8% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 24.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.