← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.22+3.40vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.32+5.41vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.84+2.75vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.28+0.17vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.71-1.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.59+0.58vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.55-0.47vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.70-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Yale University0.23+1.99vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.73-3.75vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-0.86vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.10vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University0.61-3.00vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.22vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.40-2.20vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.21-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
-
5.4Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
8.41Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.75Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.17Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
4.23Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
-
7.58University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
-
7.53Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
11.99Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
-
11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
11.0Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
-
13.8Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
15.48Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Gnann | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Morrissette | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 17.3% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Morejon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| John Holt | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Dickey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 17.5% |
| Vick Xu | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.