← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.22+4.44vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.32vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.71+1.15vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.28+1.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.59+2.45vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.32+2.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.73+0.10vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.84-1.35vs Predicted
-
9Yale University0.23+3.14vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.55-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University0.61-0.12vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.70-4.83vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.12vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-3.90vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-1.21-0.56vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-0.40-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
-
4.15Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
-
5.4Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.45University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.66Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.1University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.65Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
-
12.14Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
-
7.54Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
10.88Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.17Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
-
11.88Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
-
11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
-
15.44Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
-
13.8Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Morrissette | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 5.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 10.5% |
| David Morejon | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Vick Xu | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 53.7% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.