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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+3.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+0.11vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.70+1.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+2.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.59-0.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-1.33vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.23+1.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.84-4.27vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-1.15vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.61-2.39vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.21+1.07vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.40-1.72vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.66vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
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6.89Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.7Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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15.07Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.28Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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15.34Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Gnann | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 18.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Peter Morrissette | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Morejon | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Vick Xu | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 26.2% | 36.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 23.7% | 42.7% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.