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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+2.73vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.61+4.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84+3.23vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66-0.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.00-2.53vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-2.63vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.89vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.37vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.64-1.94vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.82-3.28vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.73Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.23Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.85Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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5.47College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.76Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.06Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.23Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 23.2% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 21.4% | 45.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 24.7% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.