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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+6.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+4.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.25+4.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont4.60+0.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+2.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07+4.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.10-1.03vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-2.54vs Predicted
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12Washington College4.25-4.68vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.00+1.59vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05-9.36vs Predicted
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15University of Florida3.05-3.28vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire2.78-3.56vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-3.25vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.53-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.51Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.97University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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7.32Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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14.59Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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4.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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11.72University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Brown | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Clinton Hayes | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| George Saunders | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Joshua Leighton | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Blouin | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 42.8% |
| John Booth | 16.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 24.2% |
| Carl Shorett | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.