← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.85+5.69vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.84+3.70vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.17+1.76vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.97+1.49vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.71+0.81vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.01+2.80vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.13vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.15-0.22vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.51vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.28vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.49-0.26vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.24-0.67vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.88vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island-0.93+0.43vs Predicted
-
15Boston College-0.06-2.91vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.22-7.35vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-0.48-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69Brown University1.858.3%1st Place
-
5.7Bowdoin College1.8411.5%1st Place
-
4.76Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
-
5.49Roger Williams University1.9711.9%1st Place
-
5.81Dartmouth College1.7110.4%1st Place
-
8.8Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
-
10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
-
7.78Tufts University1.156.2%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.2%1st Place
-
7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.8%1st Place
-
10.74Roger Williams University0.493.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of Vermont0.242.4%1st Place
-
9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.5%1st Place
-
14.43University of Rhode Island-0.930.8%1st Place
-
12.09Boston College-0.061.4%1st Place
-
8.65Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
-
13.27Boston University-0.481.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Emma Wang | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Erin Little | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 43.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 10.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.