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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+4.04vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.85vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+0.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.16vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.84+0.61vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.61vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07-3.11vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.62vs Predicted
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13Clemson University2.34-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.1College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.0%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.02Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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7.89Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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11.38Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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10.1Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Willie McBride | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 20.3% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Jason Carminati | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 54.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 24.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.