← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.19vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.28+3.14vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.59+4.43vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.71+0.13vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.55+2.37vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.84+0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.73-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University0.61+2.33vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.58vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.32-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Boston College1.70-3.81vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-1.10vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-1.21+1.98vs Predicted
-
14Yale University0.23-2.20vs Predicted
-
15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.19vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University-0.40-2.63vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.22-11.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
-
5.14Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
-
4.13Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
-
7.37Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
6.74Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
-
10.33Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.18Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.19Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
-
10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
-
14.98Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
-
11.8Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
-
15.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
-
13.37Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.5Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Gnann | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 18.5% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Morrissette | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Morejon | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Vick Xu | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 27.6% | 35.2% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 22.4% | 42.4% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 10.4% |
| Jed Bell | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.