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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.08+6.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.55+4.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+1.13vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.84+1.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-1.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70-1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.07-4.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-0.28vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.40+1.34vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70+1.11vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.21+1.12vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.23-3.45vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.61-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.59-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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8.69Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.15Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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13.34Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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15.12Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.55Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Gnann | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Morrissette | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 8.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Morejon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 13.8% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 25.0% |
| Vick Xu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 45.4% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Engeman | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.