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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+5.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.15vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.32+5.15vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.84+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.59+2.01vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.70+0.75vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.21+8.51vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.40+5.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-1.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.88vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.61-0.38vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.08-2.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.62vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.70+0.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.50-4.18vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.07-10.46vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.38-1.04vs Predicted
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18Yale University0.23-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University1.840.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont1.590.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
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15.51Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.56Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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14.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.500.0%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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15.96University of Connecticut-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.55Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Morrissette | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Engeman | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vick Xu | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 23.2% | 31.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 8.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dickey | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Anna Wiatrowski | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 13.1% |
| David Morejon | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Young | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 40.7% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.