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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+9.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+8.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+3.10vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+5.46vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+2.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.34vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-2.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-1.82vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+1.09vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+1.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.69vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-3.48vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-6.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-6.03vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.29vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.67-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.46Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Claire Havig | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Leah Harper | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.