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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+4.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+4.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+5.04vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+2.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36+0.13vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-0.33vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-0.81vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-5.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-5.84vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.15vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.57vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.67-1.25vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.67Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.19Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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15.75University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Emma White | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Leah Harper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 55.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.