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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+7.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.97vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+6.10vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.67+5.74vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-0.97vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-1.76vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-2.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.43-5.44vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-5.09vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.51vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.24-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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15.74University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.43Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Riley Legault | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 53.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Claire Havig | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.