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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+8.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.07vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+5.48vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+1.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+2.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-0.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+1.17vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.67+3.84vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.33vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.17vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-5.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-8.38vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.48Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.88Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Claire Havig | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.6% |
| Leah Harper | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 56.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.