Race 10A

charleston-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Ingham 19.6% 16.7% 16.4% 12.2% 8.9% 9.7% 6.9% 4.8% 2.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 10.8% 11.3% 11.0% 12.2% 13.3% 9.2% 9.0% 7.1% 6.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Erik Bowers 7.1% 9.4% 8.8% 9.6% 8.2% 10.7% 9.4% 11.4% 8.4% 7.5% 5.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Jason Carminati 6.5% 8.6% 6.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1% 9.5% 8.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3%
Sydney Bolger 18.9% 15.9% 15.2% 10.5% 10.5% 10.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Willie McBride 5.0% 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 9.3% 10.0% 11.5% 11.7% 10.6% 5.8%
Max Famiglietti 4.3% 4.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.2% 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 10.5% 10.5% 15.8% 13.9% 9.2%
Ian Liberty 5.3% 6.2% 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 10.8% 11.2% 11.3% 8.8% 9.9% 2.9%
Amy Hawkins 9.8% 8.3% 11.0% 10.9% 9.5% 9.6% 9.9% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Andrew Battigaglia 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.1% 9.9% 15.4% 52.8%
Harrison Cabiness 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.1% 4.6% 7.8% 10.4% 14.7% 21.2% 19.1%
Stephanie Roble 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 7.9% 11.1% 9.7% 9.7% 8.2% 5.5% 4.3% 1.2%
Sam Fitzgerald 2.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.6% 5.9% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 11.2% 12.1% 13.0% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.