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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.46vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+6.55vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+3.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+2.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40+0.97vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-3.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-0.80vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-3.26vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-7.68vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-5.79vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.20-6.02vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.97-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.98Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Claire Havig | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Talia Toland | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Riley Legault | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 18.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.