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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+6.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+5.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+1.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+0.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+2.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+1.40vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-4.08vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.06vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-2.62vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.52vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.18-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.67-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.95George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.48Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.92Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.45Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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15.31University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Talia Toland | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Leah Harper | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.