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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.37vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+6.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+6.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.94vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+2.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40+0.66vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+0.95vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+1.10vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-0.82vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.67+0.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.95vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-7.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.42George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.45Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.88Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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15.6University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Emma White | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Leah Harper | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 52.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.