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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+8.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.87vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+6.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+3.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+2.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-0.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.92vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.23vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-4.37vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.67-0.32vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.24-6.49vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.69-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.85Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.36University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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15.68University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 9.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Emma White | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Leah Harper | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 54.0% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.