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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+7.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+5.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+4.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+3.84vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+2.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+2.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-1.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+1.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64+0.47vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-3.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.26-2.22vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-2.65vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.34-4.31vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.91-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.63Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.07University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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13.35Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.69Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 23.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.