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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.80vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+6.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+8.39vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+4.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+1.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.49-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-0.67vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-1.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.12-3.78vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.30-6.46vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.26-3.05vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-5.98vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.64-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.4Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.97Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Haig | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 19.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.