Race 11A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Ingham 19.2% 16.1% 16.9% 13.3% 9.7% 9.0% 6.3% 4.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Willie McBride 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 11.1% 8.6% 11.9% 14.0% 11.2% 5.2%
Amy Hawkins 8.5% 9.5% 10.8% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 9.4% 9.9% 8.1% 6.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Erik Bowers 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 9.5% 11.4% 10.7% 7.5% 8.9% 10.0% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Jason Carminati 8.3% 8.6% 7.0% 10.0% 9.7% 7.8% 10.4% 9.4% 10.0% 7.5% 6.1% 4.0% 1.2%
Ian Liberty 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 9.2% 12.3% 11.1% 7.4% 3.8%
Sydney Bolger 17.8% 16.3% 14.5% 13.9% 9.3% 8.1% 7.6% 5.4% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 11.5% 11.4% 12.7% 9.7% 10.0% 11.7% 9.5% 8.9% 6.7% 4.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Stephanie Roble 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 9.6% 8.2% 10.9% 10.5% 8.0% 9.4% 7.3% 5.9% 4.3% 0.7%
Max Famiglietti 4.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.2% 12.3% 12.9% 15.0% 9.6%
Andrew Battigaglia 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 4.7% 6.0% 9.8% 18.0% 47.7%
Sam Fitzgerald 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.7% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 9.6% 10.6% 15.0% 10.9% 7.2%
Harrison Cabiness 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 2.7% 4.7% 5.6% 8.3% 9.5% 12.5% 22.7% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.