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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+7.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+8.11vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+8.06vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+2.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30+1.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-1.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91+0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-1.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.94-2.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.52vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.34-2.51vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.26-3.06vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.64-5.48vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.49-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.74Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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13.06Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 21.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Emily Haig | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.