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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+7.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.10vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+8.97vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+3.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.64+5.34vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.31vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-0.55vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-0.65vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-0.92vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.94-3.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.58vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-7.33vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.26-3.14vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-6.07vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.34-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.72Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.97Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.35Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.08Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.96University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.32Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 20.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 18.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.